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Writer's pictureRealFacts Editorial Team

RealFacts Investor Report Nov. 17-23, 2024

A summary of the important events that happened in the stock market, real estate market, and the economy this week.




Investor Report

The Stock Market

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Adds Domino’s Pizza and Pool Corporation to Portfolio: Analyzing the Move


Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has recently added Domino’s Pizza and Pool Corporation to its portfolio, marking an intriguing shift in its investment strategy. Domino’s, known for its innovation and resilience in the food delivery industry, appeals to Buffett for its strong fundamentals and proven ability to weather economic downturns. Pool Corporation, a leading distributor of pool supplies and outdoor products, benefits from trends in home improvement and outdoor recreation, though it faces some economic challenges. These investments reflect Buffett’s confidence in companies with durable business models and growth potential, despite market fluctuations. For individual investors, these moves may provide valuable insights into identifying long-term growth opportunities in diverse sectors.


Thriving and Struggling: Walmart’s Success vs. Target’s Challenges in Q3 Earnings This Week


The Q3 2025 earnings reports reveal a sharp contrast between Walmart and Target, showcasing divergent strategies and outcomes. Walmart’s record-breaking performance, driven by strong grocery and essentials sales, propelled its stock to an all-time high, with a promising outlook for the holiday season. In contrast, Target reported weaker-than-expected results, exacerbated by declining discretionary spending and operational hurdles, causing its stock to plummet to its lowest point in a year. These differing trajectories underscore how consumer preferences and strategic execution can significantly impact retail success. The holiday season will be a critical test for both retailers, with Walmart aiming to sustain its momentum and Target striving to regain stability.


The Economy

Economic Horizons: Analyzing Trump’s Return to Power and Its Impacts


The return of the Trump administration brings a mix of optimism and uncertainty to the U.S. economy and global markets. Policies promoting deregulation, tax cuts, and pro-growth measures could boost corporate profits and domestic industries but also risk inflation, fiscal deficits, and disrupted trade relations. Proposals for tariffs, mass deportations, and a shift away from renewable energy reflect a protectionist and traditionalist agenda, with potential global ripple effects. Additionally, Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrency signals a pivot toward integrating digital assets into mainstream financial systems. Balancing these opportunities and risks will define the trajectory of both the U.S. and global economies during this administration.


From One of the Best Years to One of the Worst Weeks: Gold Prices Fall as Trump is Elected


Donald Trump’s election victory has triggered major shifts in financial markets, with gold suffering its steepest weekly decline in three years. The drop in gold prices coincided with a rally in the U.S. dollar, equities, and cryptocurrencies, driven by optimism surrounding potential tax cuts, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus under the new administration. Investors shifted from safe-haven assets like gold to growth-oriented equities and alternative investments like Bitcoin. While gold’s status as a safe haven is being questioned, its long-term value remains intact, and the dip may represent a buying opportunity for patient investors. This market volatility highlights the importance of diversification in investment strategies.


Cutting Government Spending: Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s Vision for Fiscal Reform and Global Impact


Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s creation of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) aims to tackle inefficiencies in U.S. federal spending and address a mounting fiscal crisis. With a focus on discretionary spending, entitlement programs, healthcare reform, and tax code modernization, their ambitious goal of saving $2 trillion faces significant political and logistical hurdles. Musk’s global influence, particularly in Europe, adds another layer of complexity, as his innovations are critical to decarbonization and satellite technology, yet his regulatory clashes challenge traditional governance models. The initiative underscores the critical need for pragmatic reforms and international cooperation to balance fiscal responsibility with innovation and diplomacy.


The Complex History and Future of Energy Transitions: Why Coal Is Still Going to be Around


This article explores the evolution and complexities of energy transitions, a central theme at COP29. It critiques the oversimplified narrative of past energy shifts, arguing that transitions often involve coexistence and transformation rather than outright replacements. The continued reliance on coal and its infrastructure underscores the magnitude of the challenge in reducing fossil fuel dependency. While shutting down coal plants presents significant economic and political barriers, the climate benefits of early action are substantial, offering a more cost-effective solution to mitigating global warming. The article urges policymakers to embrace a nuanced understanding of energy systems and take bold, systemic actions to build a sustainable future.


Balancing Climate Change Action: Policy Reversals, Global Financing, and Technology’s Role in a Sustainable Future


This article explores the potential rollback of climate policies under a new U.S. administration and the global repercussions such shifts could have. It delves into the prospects of weakening the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the likely U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement, and domestic deregulation of environmental protections. The piece also highlights global climate financing challenges, particularly the need for an updated "New Collective Quantified Goal" (NCQG) to address climate action disparities between rich and poor nations. Finally, the article underscores the promise of renewable technologies, the importance of balancing mitigation with adaptation, and the critical need for international cooperation to achieve sustainable and equitable climate goals.


The Real Estate Market

Tale of Two Loans: Freddie Mac K-Series Top Conduits in Multifamily Distress


Commercial real estate loans have become a barometer for market health, especially in times of economic uncertainty. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) often find themselves under the spotlight. Their reputation for relaxed underwriting standards makes them a focal point for those assessing the sector’s vulnerabilities. A recent analysis by KBRA sheds light on the stark contrasts between two types of multifamily loans: CMBS fixed-rate conduits and Freddie Mac K-series securitizations. Both products finance stabilized properties, yet their performance metrics reveal a tale of two markets.


New Data Center Provider Launches Targeting Office Conversions


In a bold move to address skyrocketing demand for data centers, a new London-based company, EdgeNebula, has launched with a pioneering focus on converting vacant office buildings into data centers. This strategy not only aims to meet the needs of the rapidly growing artificial intelligence (AI) sector but also positions the company as a champion of sustainable development.


Big Cities Take Up Fight Against Algorithm-Based Rents


The multifamily housing industry is at a crossroads. Cities like San Francisco and Philadelphia, alongside federal and state lawmakers, are targeting the algorithm-based rent-pricing systems that have become indispensable tools for many property owners and investors. For those in the real estate investment space, these legal and legislative shifts are more than a passing trend—they could significantly impact asset valuation, operational strategies, and long-term profitability.


At the center of this controversy is RealPage, a software firm accused of using confidential, nonpublic data to coordinate rent prices across three million apartments. The Justice Department’s antitrust lawsuit, coupled with mounting local regulations, seeks to curb the influence of such algorithms on rental markets. Investors must now evaluate the risks and rewards of continuing to rely on these tools while navigating an increasingly regulated landscape.


Extended Stay Hotels Continue to be a Favorite for Developers


In an ever-changing real estate landscape, where asset classes oscillate between boom and bust cycles, extended-stay hotels have emerged as a standout performers. Over the past decade, this sector has gained favor with developers for its ability to provide consistent returns, cater to diverse guest demographics, and adapt to shifting market trends.


As traditional hotels grapple with economic uncertainties and changing travel behaviors, extended-stay properties are redefining hospitality, bridging the gap between hotels and residential living. It’s no surprise that developers are bullish on this asset class, with robust pipelines, particularly in the Sun Belt region, reflecting growing investor confidence.


Developers Should Capitalize on Energy Tax Credits Now


As the political winds shift with the election of President-elect Donald Trump, the future of federal clean energy incentives hangs precariously in the balance. For multifamily property developers, this moment is pivotal: a closing window of opportunity to leverage the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and other clean energy tax credits before they potentially disappear. While uncertainty looms, the advantages of acting now are clear, presenting an unparalleled chance to future-proof properties, reduce operational costs, and boost tenant satisfaction.


Extend-And-Pretend Has Grown The Multifamily Wall Of Maturities By 25%


The multifamily commercial real estate market is facing a rapidly approaching financial reckoning. A new report from Gray Capital has revised the outlook on multifamily CMBS (commercial mortgage-backed securities) loan maturities, with projections revealing that the so-called "wall of maturities" will peak in October 2025 at $5.4 billion—an increase of more than 25% from earlier estimates. This significant jump reflects the mounting challenges facing both borrowers and lenders, fueled by high interest rates, a slower capital markets environment, and the widespread use of "extend-and-pretend" strategies to delay inevitable reckonings.


As we approach 2025, multifamily investors must be acutely aware of these developments, the potential risks, and opportunities on the horizon.


Rental Market Stabilizes as Supply and Demand Reach Equilibrium


The multifamily rental market in the U.S. is undergoing a delicate balancing act, as supply and demand edge closer to equilibrium after years of pandemic-driven volatility. While the market is stabilizing, investors must consider several nuanced factors when evaluating opportunities. Understanding current trends is crucial to making informed decisions in this dynamic sector.


Retention Rates Climb Amid Supply Wave


The U.S. apartment market has experienced a notable shift over the past year, with more renters opting to renew their leases than in previous years. As of October 2024, just over 54% of renters in market-rate apartments chose to stay put, marking a 120-basis-point (bps) increase compared to the previous year, according to RealPage Market Analytics. This upward trend reflects a concerted effort by operators to prioritize resident retention amid record-breaking supply levels across much of the nation.



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