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RealFacts Editorial Team

RealFacts Investor Report Dec. 16-21, 2024

A summary of the important events that happened in the stock market, real estate market, and the economy this week.



Stack of vintage books on a wooden table in warm light. Visible titles include "Reports of Tax Cases" and "Captain Cook."

The Stock Market

Hot Wheels: A Toy That Drives Generations and Profits


Hot Wheels, a flagship brand of Mattel, has transcended its origins as a children’s toy to become a cultural icon and economic powerhouse. With over 8 billion cars sold, the brand now thrives on a growing adult collector base driven by nostalgia and a strong secondary market for limited-edition models. Mattel leverages Hot Wheels' popularity through collaborations with franchises like Marvel and Formula 1, driving steady year-round sales and bolstering its stock value. Despite challenges from digital competition, Hot Wheels remains relevant through innovation, collector culture, and its use in STEM education, ensuring its legacy as a multi-generational favorite.


Silicon Valley Goes South: High-Stakes Dinners at Mar-a-Lago


Prominent tech CEOs, including Apple’s Tim Cook, Google’s Sundar Pichai, and Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, have engaged in high-profile meetings with Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago. These interactions reflect efforts to navigate regulatory challenges, build political connections, and align corporate interests with evolving policies. The gatherings underscore the complex balance between business pragmatism and public perception. As Silicon Valley leaders engage in corporate diplomacy, the outcomes of these discussions may shape the regulatory and technological future.


From AI Chips to Record Gains: Broadcom’s Meteoric Rise


Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is experiencing a stock market surge, with shares reaching an all-time high due to its pivotal role in the AI revolution. The company has strategically expanded its customer base for custom AI chips, driving investor confidence and fueling growth. Despite strong earnings and market optimism, some analysts warn of overvaluation risks as Broadcom’s valuation climbs. By diversifying its AI-focused offerings and forging key partnerships, Broadcom solidifies its leadership in the semiconductor industry, making it a standout performer in the evolving tech landscape.


Dow Jones 9 day Losing Streak in 50 Years: How Federal Reserve Decisions Shape U.S. Stock Market Trends


This article explores the recent fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, emphasizing the significant impact of Federal Reserve policies and economic indicators. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's historic nine-day losing streak is examined alongside sector-specific highlights, such as consumer discretionary gains driven by Tesla and challenges faced by healthcare and technology stocks. Rising volatility, measured by the VIX, underscores investor caution amidst monetary policy changes and geopolitical uncertainties. The piece concludes by addressing the importance of diversification and the cyclical nature of markets.


The Rise of Quantum Computing: Opportunities and Risks for Investors


Quantum computing is emerging as a transformative technology, attracting significant investment and attention in the stock market. Companies like Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT), D-Wave, Rigetti, and IonQ are leading the charge, with several experiencing dramatic stock price increases, especially following notable contracts with organizations like NASA. However, while the potential of quantum computing is vast, the sector remains volatile and speculative. Investors must carefully weigh the risks, including technological hurdles, competition, and regulatory challenges, before making significant investments in this high-stakes field. The future of quantum computing could bring significant advancements but also requires patience and strategic foresight.


The Economy

Time for Change: Trump’s Pledge to End Daylight Saving Time


President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to eliminate Daylight Saving Time (DST), labeling it inconvenient and costly. While some states and industries support permanent DST for its economic benefits, health experts argue standard time aligns better with circadian rhythms, improving public health. Efforts to reform DST, including bipartisan bills like the Sunshine Protection Act, have stalled in Congress. The debate continues as Americans remain divided on whether to prioritize economic gains or public health in choosing between permanent DST or standard time.


The Real Estate Market


Another Quarter-Point Rate Cut But the Fed Signals a Slower Pace in 2025


The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, signals a moment of cautious optimism for the economy. However, the Fed’s acknowledgment of rising inflation expectations and its slower pace of monetary policy adjustments raise significant questions about the impact on commercial real estate (CRE).

Only One US City Outside Sun Belt Placed Among Best Overall Retail


As we look ahead to 2025, the retail landscape across the United States is clearly shifting. An analysis of U.S. retail markets reveals a stark divide between the best-performing regions and the others, with Sun Belt cities largely taking the lead. However, one unexpected player has emerged in 2024, standing tall outside the Sun Belt: Columbus, Ohio. The city’s strong retail performance offers a glimpse into what other regions outside the traditional growth areas can do with the right investments and demographics.


Treasury Yields May Keep Rising and That Is Worrisome


Commercial real estate (CRE) investors have patiently waited for the tide to turn. Many have weathered the storm of rising interest rates, held off refinancing when costs soared, and navigated challenging lending environments. The Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts — three this fall alone — seemed like a light at the end of the tunnel. Yet, for those hoping for more relief in 2025, the road ahead just became more uncertain.


Markets with The Most Mid-Rises


In today’s ever-evolving real estate market, the importance of mid-rise apartment buildings is becoming increasingly evident, particularly for investors seeking to diversify and maximize returns. While mid-rise properties—defined as buildings with four to six stories—represent just under 20% of the nation's apartment stock, they offer a unique and valuable opportunity, especially in markets where higher-density high-rise developments are impractical or undesirable. From their ability to provide more affordable, community-oriented living spaces to their lower construction cost compared to high-rises, mid-rise assets are positioned to be a key player in the multifamily sector moving forward.

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